About 60% of the electorate today have a top
concern for the economy.
30% (remote 2nd) top concerned about is unemployment.
Immigration policy seems to be dropping
with about 25% of the people saying it is their top
concern. (this fact I have taken into account for my BNP predictions here)
Based on my current analysis of the trends and several opinion polls, if a general election were held now the approximate results in seats would be:
CON…. 375
LAB…. 180
LIB…. 50
SNP/PC..11
others..30
(less the deputy speaker and Sinn Fein)
giving a conservative majority of 167 seats
It’s hard to fathom the BNP result because I don’t
know yet how many candidates they can muster to
contest the seats.
But my best guess is about 200 of which we are likely to win 2 seats in the North West.
The real election Day targets are of course vulnerable to interim events en route and
subject to the dynamics within an ultimate Election Campaign.
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I know the “top concerns” percentages look odd
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