May 5th General Election Poll Results Who will you vote for in the

Comment on General Election 2010 Poll Results by David.

May 5th General Election Poll Results

Who will you vote for in the 2010 general election?
* Labour Party (21.09%, 23,244 Votes) 23.71%, 3,215 Votes
* Conservative Party (25.63%, 28,254 Votes) 25.46%, 3,452 Votes
* Liberal Democrats Party (30.73%, 33,876 Votes) 31.84%, 4,317 Votes
* UK Independence Party (UKIP) (4.76%, 5,252 Votes) 3.31%, 449 Votes
* Green Party (3.27%, 3,603 Votes) 2.32%, 315 Votes
* British National Party (BNP) (4.93%, 5,433 Votes) 6.73%, 912 Votes
* Plaid Cymru Party (0.63%, 690 Votes) 0.51%, 69 Votes
* Other Political Party (2.65%, 2,917 Votes) 0.94%, 128 Votes
* NONE OF THE ABOVE (1.78%, 1,959 Votes) 1.11%, 151 Votes
* Don’t Know : Floating Voter (4.54%, 5,007 Votes) 4.07%, 552 Votes

Voters: 13,560
Total Voters: 110,235 (on May 5th at ~9:30am)

The above results are based on 13,560 votes between Saturday at 2:30pm and 9:30am on May 5th (almost 4 days worth of votes).

These results do not match the polls you’ll see on TV and in the newspapers and I doubt we’ll see these exact results this time 2 days from now. However, if you check the results of this poll over time you can spot trends : https://general-election-2010.co.uk/weekly-general-election-poll-results/.

Since the live TV debates Liberal Democrat support has surged, it peaked at almost 50% of those voting in this poll for the week ending 24th April and has now dropped down to almost 32% now.

Interestingly the Conservative vote remained quite static over the last twoish weeks around 25%, but the Labour support has recovered a bit up from 19% to the current almost 24% (~4.75% rise in 4 days).

I don’t believe for one minute the actual popular vote will be Labour 24%, Conservative 25%, Lib Dems 32% etc… (wouldn’t that be an upset if it was though :-)), BUT this polls real value is in the weekly trends and it looks like the Conservative support has fallen far more than the Labour support since the TV debates. Before the live TV debates the results were: Labour 24%, Conservative 31%, Lib Dems 17%.

So since the live TV debate Labour support remains the same, Conservatives down 6% and the Lib Dems are up 15%!!!

I doubt I’ll be sleeping early tomorrow night :-)

Those who follow my site will know I normally vote Labour, but planned to vote Lib Dem hoping the massive swing to the Lib Dems will topple the Tories here (a bit of a punt really). Now I’m voting Labour for two reasons, 1st it’s who I want to vote for out of the main three parties, 2nd since the Lib Dems are in 4th place where I live and Labour second if there is a massive shift to Lib Dem AND as my poll (and other places I read) suggests that swing will be mostly from the Conservatives there’s a very slim chance that swing will be enough to cut the Tory vote significantly leaving Labour in the lead (it’s another long shot where I live, but still).

BTW to BNP supporters, the BNP did not campaign on their official site to get more BNP supporters voting in my poll this period (last 4 days barely had any traffic from the BNP official site), so the last 4 days numbers are NOT edited to remove BNP votes: I don’t see the BNP gaining 6.73% of the popular vote, but there you go.

David