I’ve changed the Weekly General Election Poll Results format to show the

Comment on Weekly General Election Poll Results by David.

I’ve changed the Weekly General Election Poll Results format to show the snapshot results when I compiled the weekly poll results.

This gives a snapshot of the entire (all votes from September 2009) general election poll each Saturday afternoon and the previous 7 days votes side by side.

This also means anyone visiting the site who can do basic maths can work out the current percentages and number of votes for each party at any time they like.

For example as I type this comment the main polls at:

Total Voters: 56,201, so since last Saturday there’s been 15,339 votes!

To work out the percentages take the votes since Saturday (15,339) and divide by 100 = 153.39 that tells you how many votes = 1% of the vote since Saturday.

Work out how many votes a party has had since Saturday, for example currently Labour have a total of 13,342 votes, subtract the Labour total from last Saturdays Labour total votes (10,235 votes) and that gives us the total votes for Labour since Saturday 10th April = 3,107 votes.

We divide the total votes for a party since Saturday (3,107) by the 1% figure (currently 153.39) and that gives us the Labour vote as a percentage = 20.25555772866549318730034552448

Round it to a reasonable number of decimal points and Labour have 20.26% of the vote in the poll since Saturday.

Repeat for all the parties to see what’s going on.

Here’s the main three parties:

Labour : 20.26%
Conservative : 23.35%
Lib Dems : 33.87%

That is a BIG swing to the Lib Dems and if it equated to real results I guess that would be a hung parliament, presumably with the Lib Dems as the biggest party! That would be interesting :-)

I was listening to SKY News earlier about an official poll (think it was Morie) and the unedited voting numbers without taking into account polls are flawed and need manipulating (to take into account age, ethnicity etc…) had a similar result as the above for the Lib Dems (something like Con : 36%, Lib: 35%, Lab 20%). After the pollsters manipulations it was totally different with the Lib Dems on 24%!

David