Comment on Weekly General Election Poll Results by David.

Weekly General Election Poll Results

Did you happen to notice the title of this page? I pasted it above :-)

Weekly, means every 7 days, so though you are right about the main poll being based on both new and old data (up to 6 months old), the above results (based on the main poll) are fresh.

The latest Weekly General Election Poll Results is just 2 days old and shows a clear trend towards more people voting Conservative relative to both the main (entire poll) and previous weekly poll results.

The past 3 weeks has seen Conservative ~10 points ahead of Labour, relative to 5 points ahead in the entire main poll.

Assuming we have a true cross section of British voters voting (and we probably don’t, there are no controls on who can/can’t vote) it’s showing a trend of more people deciding to vote Conservative.

This suggests a stronger Tory win if we had the election today relative to a month ago.

How is that NOT useful information?

Will be interesting to see what happens over the next few weeks, as a Labour voter (though not strong Labour supporter) I’m hoping for a hung parliament resulting in a coalition government between Labour and the Liberal Democrats.

David

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