Yes the core Labour vote is strong, but ask yourself why?
There’s really only one alternative and that’s the Conservatives who are perceived as rich selfish ba###rds who will screw over the less well off so they and their friends make more money.
Yep, I see Labour voters who perceive the Tories this way flocking to the alternative Conservative party!
The real alternative to Labour and Conservatives are the Lib Dems and the electorate apparently don’t want them in power either.
I generally like what Labour stand for, but there are areas I don’t like, they are trampling on our civil rights and if they stayed in power we’d keep sliding slowly down the slippery slope. With Labour and the Lib Dems in power together we’d get a general Labour approach tempered by the Lib Dems who do not support policies like ID cards.
To Conservative voters, you’ve seen how hard it is to knock the Labour vote down when pretty much everything has gone wrong for Labour. What do you think is going to happen if the Tories control the country for a while and bring in all the awful spending cuts (that Labour would have to do as well) and we got to another first past the post election with a new Labour leader (Gordon Brown can’t survive as the Labour leader now) and a feeling among the electorate the Tories have screwed us over by lying about public sector cuts etc… (the efficiency saving rubbish) while giving their rich friends a tax break! I see another Labour government whether the election is 18 months from now or over 4 years.
At least with a voting system like STV there will almost certainly always be a Lib Dem part to a Labour government to not let them trample all over our civil liberties. And at times like these a Tory/Lib Dem government that can’t completely screw over the less well off.
That is unless constituency boundaries are changed to make the current situation where Labour has their support concentrated in a way where a relatively small amount of support still results in safe seats.
As it is, it’s difficult for the Conservatives to get a decent majority in the FPTP system and even harder for the Lib Dems and much easier for Labour.
David
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